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Messages - Pascha 77

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Today I received a notice of intended prosecution for the above offence.
When setting off from traffic lights in a 3 lane junction and turning right, I moved from the middle lane to the inside lane. I was unaware of a car in the inside lane coming up from behind and may not have signalled. The car was forced to break (I’m assuming: I don’t recall any squealing tires etc). The driver leaned on his horn, I apologised by flashing my hazard lights, he mouthed some words, which I couldn’t hear, and drove off.
Dash cam footage was included with the notice.
According to the internet, I could face anything from a £100 fine and 3 points to ultimately a court summons resulting in £5000 and disqualification.
Where along this scale is my punishment likely to fall?
Thanks in advance for any replies.

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